Lo del sistema en seguimento es una lenta agoniam cada vez esta mas al norte, con lo que las aguas estan mas frias, y su capacidad de desarrollo disminuye. Ojo, que no digo que no salga una TD o TS, pero no creo que llegue a nada destacable.

Ya tenemos la tormenta tropical 9 (posibel ISAAC):

Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory

000
WTNT34 KNHC 272031
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092006
500 PM EDT WED SEP 27 2006

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...NO THREAT TO LAND...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE NINTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE
2006 HURRICANE SEASON HAS FORMED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.1 WEST OR ABOUT 810
MILES...1305 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...26.5 N...53.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH

Le ponen la mismita ruta que a Helene

Menudo filipino que tienen en Filipinas...

Enlace

Este año le toca al pacifico.... y de que forma!!

Aqui parece que todos se vienen al calorcillo apañó 

Cita de: RetusPetrus™ en Jueves 28 Septiembre 2006 00:31:00 AM
Le ponen la mismita ruta que a Helene

Filipinos¡¡¡

Pues nada...a partir del Sabado tenemos ya trayectoria...y ya estaremos...dispuestos..

Os lo juro, envidio a los del NHC


DISCUSION Nº2

ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE IN CONVENTIONAL  SATELLITE IMAGERY... MICROWAVE OVERPASSES BY QUIKSCAT AT 2132 UTC  AND SSMIS AT 2309 UTC SUGGEST THAT IT IS NEARING TROPICAL STORM  STRENGTH.  LATEST DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES...HOWEVER...REMAIN 30  KT FROM ALL AGENCIES AND THIS WILL BE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY.  THE  CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE PRIMARY AREA  OF DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO SOUTHERLY WIND SHEAR IMPOSED BY AN  UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST OF THE DEPRESSION.  MOST OF THE GLOBAL  MODELS GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS FEATURE AND THEREFORE THE SHEAR OVER  THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL  STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THEREAFTER...SOUTHWESTERLY  SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN WHILE SSTS COOL...WHICH SHOULD  INHIBIT FURTHER STRENGTHENING.  THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST  IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS AND GFDL INTENSITY GUIDANCE...AND SIMILAR TO  THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.    THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/11.  GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE  INDICATES THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL BE STEERED AROUND THE WESTERN  PERIPHERY OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF  THE CYCLONE.  IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...A LARGE DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IS  PREDICTED TO BE DEPARTING THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.   THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO TURN NORTHWARD...THEN  NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH.  THE GFS IS ON THE WESTERN EDGE  OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE AS IT DEPICTS A MUCH WEAKER AND MORE SHALLOW  SYSTEM THAN ANTICIPATED BY THE SHIPS AND GFDL.  SINCE THE SHIPS AND  GFDL ARE IN SUCH GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FUTURE INTENSITY OF THE  SYSTEM...THE GFDL TRACK MIGHT BE A MORE LIKELY SOLUTION.  THE  OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED WESTWARD AND SLOWER COMPARED TO THE  PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL TRACK.


, nada mas que llevan 12 horas pronosticando y ya lo hacen extratropical...anda...( es posible claro, pero tio..cortate un poco que nos hundes)

Cita de: A.D.I.D.A.S en Jueves 28 Septiembre 2006 07:39:51 AM
Os lo juro, envidio a los del NHC


DISCUSION Nº2

ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE IN CONVENTIONAL  SATELLITE IMAGERY... MICROWAVE OVERPASSES BY QUIKSCAT AT 2132 UTC  AND SSMIS AT 2309 UTC SUGGEST THAT IT IS NEARING TROPICAL STORM  STRENGTH.  LATEST DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES...HOWEVER...REMAIN 30  KT FROM ALL AGENCIES AND THIS WILL BE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY.  THE  CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE PRIMARY AREA  OF DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO SOUTHERLY WIND SHEAR IMPOSED BY AN  UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST OF THE DEPRESSION.  MOST OF THE GLOBAL  MODELS GRADUALLY WEAKEN THIS FEATURE AND THEREFORE THE SHEAR OVER  THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL  STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  THEREAFTER...SOUTHWESTERLY  SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN WHILE SSTS COOL...WHICH SHOULD  INHIBIT FURTHER STRENGTHENING.  THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST  IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS AND GFDL INTENSITY GUIDANCE...AND SIMILAR TO  THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.    THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/11.  GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE  INDICATES THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL BE STEERED AROUND THE WESTERN  PERIPHERY OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF  THE CYCLONE.  IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...A LARGE DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IS  PREDICTED TO BE DEPARTING THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.   THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO TURN NORTHWARD...THEN  NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH.  THE GFS IS ON THE WESTERN EDGE  OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE AS IT DEPICTS A MUCH WEAKER AND MORE SHALLOW  SYSTEM THAN ANTICIPATED BY THE SHIPS AND GFDL.  SINCE THE SHIPS AND  GFDL ARE IN SUCH GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FUTURE INTENSITY OF THE  SYSTEM...THE GFDL TRACK MIGHT BE A MORE LIKELY SOLUTION.  THE  OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED WESTWARD AND SLOWER COMPARED TO THE  PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL TRACK.

INITIAL      28/0300Z 27.2N  53.8W    30 KT
12HR VT     28/1200Z 28.2N  55.0W    35 KT
24HR VT     29/0000Z 29.9N  56.5W    40 KT
36HR VT     29/1200Z 31.6N  57.6W    45 KT
48HR VT     30/0000Z 33.6N  58.1W    50 KT
72HR VT     01/0000Z 38.0N  57.0W    50 KT
96HR VT     02/0000Z 42.0N  52.5W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     03/0000Z 46.0N  45.0W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

, nada mas que llevan 12 horas pronosticando y ya lo hacen extratropical...anda...( es posible claro, pero tio..cortate un poco que nos hundes)

La verdad es que bien se podrian haber molestado en no poner las dos ultimas lineas  aunque como ya sabemos luego iran metiendole dias y dias, y aumentando dias 

Haber si se organiza un poco, porque parece haber pillado un catarro



Haber si se tomas una aspirina.

Vaya birria, como mucho 50kt y en aguas menos calientes. A duras penas va a llegar a tormenta, y si lo hace desde luego a huracan no llega seguro. Y encima no hay nada mas reseñable por el atlantico 

Cita de: torreoviedo en Jueves 28 Septiembre 2006 10:01:49 AM
Vaya birria, como mucho 50kt y en aguas menos calientes. A duras penas va a llegar a tormenta, y si lo hace desde luego a huracan no llega seguro. Y encima no hay nada mas reseñable por el atlantico 

Bueno quien sabe, luego empiezan a aumentar en dias y intensidad, o al reves, hay que seguirlo dia a dia.

Personalmente pasaría del Isaac o como se llame y  vigilaría lo que se les acerca a los canarios por el SW. Esta tomando una virulencia...

Isaac no llegará a nada, y menos con la trayectoria que lleva. Lo de Canarias si que es grande,pero parece estable, asi que seguramente se quede por alli o coja dirección Oeste. En cualquier caso puede seguir, ya que no hay gran cosa más a destacar en el Atlántico.