[HIGHT]

Tal como veníamos comentando en el Seguimiento General, ni siquiera han pasado por el trámite de ponerlo en HIGHT sino directamente a Tormenta Tropical S.S. con 40 nudos. En las últimas estimaciones del JTWC no le dan más de 55 - 60 nudos de pico, pero esta cuenca es muy dada a las "sorpresas". Veremos.

REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 81.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 84 NM
NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A BROAD CLOUD SHIELD CONSOLIDATING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS THE SYSTEM HAS TRANSITIONED OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS FROM A MONSOONAL TYPE PATTERN TO A MORE CHARACTERISTIC
TROPICAL STRUCTURE. A PAIR OF RECENT ASCAT PASSES CONFIRMS THE
PRESENCE OF A SYMMETRIC CENTER, WITH A RADIUS OF MAXIMUM (40 KNOT)
WINDS AT APPROXIMATELY 25 NM. THE INITIAL POSITION AND STRUCTURE IS
BASED ON THE ASCAT WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED AT 40 KNOTS, AND IS ALSO BASED ON THE ASCAT DUE TO
UNREPRESENTATIVE AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES. TC ONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A NEAR EQUATORIAL STEERING
RIDGE (NESR) BUILDS OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA. ROBUST RADIAL OUTFLOW,
MODERATE (20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24-
36 HOURS. BEGINNING AROUND TAU 48, THE NESR WILL REORIENT AND MOVE
EQUATORWARD AND TC ONE WILL BEGIN TO BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN A
PASSING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH. THE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITHIN THE
TROUGH COUPLED WITH ANOMALOUSLY LOW SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL
LEAD TO A DISSIPATION TREND OVER THE NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL PRIOR TO
LANDFALL. AS THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ON TC ONE, AND DYNAMICAL
GUIDANCE IS VERY LIMITED, THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK AT THIS TIME.

[CI# /Pressure/ Vmax3.6 / 983.6mb/ 57.0kt]

Empieza a "carburar" en serio. Las explosiones convectivas se suceden alrededor del centro y ADT.....
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.6 / 983.6mb/ 57.0kt

[01B.ROANU.50kts-985mb]

Llega la oficialidad y el nombramiento. 01B.ROANU.50kts-985mb

ROANU ha acelerado su velocidad de traslación bordeando la costa oriental de la India, en su camino hacia Bangladesh, perdiendo rápidamente su estructura, para luego disiparse en menos que canta un gallo.