[JTWC]

 

Petardazo descomunal en las ultimas horas....





JTWC

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N 82.0E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.3N 81.5E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN
IMPROVING BUT STILL BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN
AN AREA OF GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A
240451Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS STRONG 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH
OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

[(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N 82.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.3N 81.5E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPROVING BUT STILL BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A 240451Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS STRONG 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.]

Petardazo descomunal en las ultimas horas....


(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N 82.0E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.3N 81.5E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN
IMPROVING BUT STILL BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN
AN AREA OF GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A
240451Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS STRONG 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTH
OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

Si señor, se ha puesto amenazante, veremos que pasa.

Saludos 

[98B]

Pues mucho ojo, que a la sombra del 98B hay otro sistemita que ronda el NE de Madagascar, el catalogado como 92S con 20Kts.-1007mb. "MEDIUM"

El nuevo mes traerá la primera Tormenta Tropical de la temporada en el hemisferio sur. En este caso, en el Índico SW, cerca del N de Madagascar (96S)

El nuevo mes traerá la primera Tormenta Tropical de la temporada en el hemisferio sur. En este caso, en el Índico SW, cerca del N de Madagascar (96S)

MeteoFrance va a tener que darse prisa....

El nuevo mes traerá la primera Tormenta Tropical de la temporada en el hemisferio sur. En este caso, en el Índico SW, cerca del N de Madagascar (96S)

MeteoFrance va a tener que darse prisa....

Todavía no esta en dominio Gabacho ..... 

Temporada 2011 en 4.5 minutos 

http://www.youtube.com/v/fX7Q-0QuID4?version=3&hl=es_ES&

http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/MediaDetail.php?MediaID=897&MediaTypeID=2

Solo queda un día para dar por cerrada la temporada en el Atlántico.

[Este nivel de actividad concuerda con las predicciones de la NOAA y continua la tendencia a temporadas activas que comenzó en 1995....]

Solo queda un día para dar por cerrada la temporada en el Atlántico.

Y ya la NOAA va afinando el cierre y como muestra sacan hoy el siguiente artículo ya como preámbulo del cierre oficial.

Active 2011 hurricane season breaks 'Hurricane Amnesia'

Del artículo rescato algunos pasajes.

La temporada de huracanes del Atlántico 2011 termina oficialmente el miércoles, habiendo  producido un total de 19 tormentas tropicales de las que siete fueron huracanes, incluyendo tres huracanes "major". Este nivel de actividad concuerda con las predicciones de la NOAA y continua la tendencia a temporadas activas que comenzó en 1995.... 

... El total de este año incluye el reanálisis de la Tormenta Tropical Nate a Huracán, y la adición de una nueva Tormenta Tropical de corta vida sin nombre que se formó a principios de septiembre entre Bermuda y Nueva Escocia. Esta Tormenta sin nombre, junto a varias otras débiles y de corta vida tormentas tropicales nombradas, podrían haber pasado desapercibidas sin la moderna tecnología satelital disponible en la actualidad.... 

Saludos 

Cuidado a lo que sale por Indonesia 

[99BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-21N-896E]

 

Cuidado a lo que sale por Indonesia 

Tenemos nuevo Invest

99BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-21N-896E

[1. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILESNORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCINGA LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS ITINTERACTS WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOTCURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEMHAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL ORSUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTHWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.]

Sorpresa de ultima hora.... Pero sin posibilidades



1. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT
INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTHWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.

Próxima amenaza para la India , pero está vez para sus costas orientales.