SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1250 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...
LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1350 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED.  ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE IT MERGES WITH A FRONTAL
SYSTEM.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  ANOTHER SPECIAL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED FOR THIS SYSTEM LATER
TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Pues sigue generando convección... A ver en que queda

Sube sus posibilidades hasta el 50%. Su circulación cada vez mejor definida y alcanza los 25Kts-1010Mb. ¡¡¡STEWART......!!! ¿Dónde te has metioooo?

Persiste cierta anomalia cerca del centro





El NHC mantiene el 50%

Aunque ya tiene fuerza de Tormenta Tropical ó Subtropical con esos 35 Kts-1006 Mb. el NHC le rebaja al 40%.
UN AREA DE BAJA PRESION LOCALIZADA SOBRE EL ESTE CENTRAL DEL
ATLANTICO COMO A 1050 MILLAS AL SUROESTE DE LAS AZORES ESTA
PRODUCIENDO UN AREA DE VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE GALERNA AL NORTE DEL
CENTRO. SE ESPERA QUE ESTE SISTEMA ADQUIERA CARACTERISTICAS DE UN
SISTEMA FRONTAL MAS TARDE HOY O LUNES...Y DESARROLLO ADICIONAL ES
MENOS PROBABLE. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE UNA PROBABILIDAD MEDIANA...40 POR
CIENTO...DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON SUBTROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS
48 HORAS A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVA HACIA EL NORTE Y LUEGO AL NORESTE
ENTRE 10 A 15 MPH. PUEDE ENCONTRAR INFORMACION ADICIONAL EN LOS
PRONOSTICOS DE ALTO OLEAJE EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE
METEOROLOGIA. DE SER NECESARIO...OTRA PERSPECTIVA ESPECIAL SOBRE LAS
CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO EN EL TROPICO SE EMITIRA MAS TARDE HOY.

Una animación de este bicho.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN
ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN AZORES IS PRODUCING AN AREA
OF GALE-FORCE WINDS NORTH OF THE CENTER.  THIS SYSTEM IS IN THE
PROCESS OF ACQUIRING FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AND DEVELOPMENT INTO
A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD AT
15 TO 20 MPH.  THIS WILL BE THE LAST SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER
OUTLOOK ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

La tonteria quedó en tonteria