Por otra parte, hay que empezar a echar un ojo al Índico N, puesto que el monzón parece relajarse, y estamos cerca del 2º periodo donde son propensos a getarse los ciclones tropicales, tanto en Bengala como en el Mar de Arabia
Nos acercamos al mejor momento para desarrollo de sistemas antes de que se cierre el grifo en el Índico Norte
La denominación correcta para este sistema sería:
Tormenta Ciclónica 02B (Tormenta Tropical 02B)
996mb-35kt
Parte del Servicio Indio:
THE DEEP DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NORTHWESTWARDS AND LAY CENTRED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 16TH SEPTEMBER 2008 OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LAT. 20.5 DEG. NORTH AND LONG. 87.0 DEG. EAST, ABOUT 50 KMS SOUTHEAST OF CHANDBALI (42973).
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND SPEED IS 30-35 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS VERY ROUGH TO HIGH.
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEM, BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER THE AREA BETWEEN LATITUDE 18.5 DEG. NORTH AND 21.5 DEG. NORTH AND WEST OF LONGITUDE 88.0 DEG. EAST. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH FAVOURABLE DIVERGENCE AND EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION. THIS IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN THE DEEP CONVECTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEM. THE REGION OF DEPRESSION IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 986 HPA.
UNDER THIS SCENARIO, THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND CROSS ORISSA COAST NEAR CHANDBALI (42973) WITHIN A FEW HOURS.
Las imagenes y el parte lo dicen todo: sistema con pocas posibilidades de desarrollo, pero que al ser un subproducto del monzón, es capaz de generar fuertes lluvias a la costa india. Seguramente la zona sea noticia estos dias
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