Navy nombra a la depresión Tropical sin llegar a los 35 KT (T.Tropical)...
NALGAE22WNALGAE.30kts-1000mb-191N-1369EPoco a poco se irá intensificando , hasta llegar nuevamente a "Luzón". En la ultima actualización se queda a las puertas de ser nombrada Tormenta Tropical con 30 KT. Ambiente muy favorable para un posible desarrollo severo y unanimidad de los modelos , tanto en desarrollo como en severidad. De momento la marina le otorga un pico máximo de intensidad previsto de 85 KT (5Kt menos que en el parte número 2) y en cuanto al Track , un poco más alejado de la costa Norte de Luzón.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W (NALGAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 950 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS FURTHER CONSOLIDATED AND WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO A WELL-
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS BASED
ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE AND INITIAL INTENSITY
WAS BASED ON SUBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD,
RANGING FROM 25 TO 35 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 22W
IS UNDER A RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF WEAK (05-10 KT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE ANIMATION SHOWS IMPROVING POLEWARD
OUTLFOW INTO A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL 20 DEGREES TO
THE EAST. THE CYCLONE IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF A LOW AMPLITUDE MID-
LATITUDE TROUGH WHICH IS CAUSING A MOMENTARY POLEWARD PULL TO THE
STORM MOTION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ON A MORE WESTWARD
DIRECTION AFTER TAU 12 AFTER A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WEST
OF THE TROUGH ASSUMES STEERING. WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE
PHILIPPINE SEA COUPLED WITH IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL FAVOR
STEADY INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. 
24 Respuestas
7070 Vistas