Nuevo parte del NHC. No hay cambios en la intensidad de la 02L, en base a
no producirse bandas convectivas consistentes, ni convección profunda más allá de la parte occidental de la perturbaciónTHE DEPRESSION IS HAVING SOME TROUBLE DEVELOPING WELL-DEFINED
CONVECTIVE BANDING...AND THE DEEP CONVECTION THAT DOES EXIST IS
LIMITED TO THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE
La Depresión se encuentra actualmente atravesando una zona de SST poco cálido y cizalladura favorable durante los próximos 3-4 días, aunque el ambiente en capas medias permanecerá estable y con aire seco. El pico de intensidad está previsto en 50kt en unos 4 días, momento en el que se acercará a latitudes con vientos en altura desfavorablesTHE DEPRESSION WILL BE TRAVERSING MARGINALLY WARM WATER AND BE
UNDER LIGHT SHEAR CONDITIONS DURING THE NEXT 3 TO 4 DAYS...ALTHOUGH
THE AMBIENT MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY AND
STABLE. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS STILL INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST...PEAKING NEAR 50 KT IN ABOUT 4 DAYS. THEREAFTER...THE
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO REACH LATITUDES WHERE IT WILL BECOME
IMPACTED BY STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 11/2100Z 14.6N 30.4W 25 KT
12HR VT 12/0600Z 14.7N 32.0W 30 KT
24HR VT 12/1800Z 14.7N 34.3W 35 KT
36HR VT 13/0600Z 14.8N 36.7W 35 KT
48HR VT 13/1800Z 15.0N 39.1W 40 KT
72HR VT 14/1800Z 16.0N 44.0W 45 KT
96HR VT 15/1800Z 18.0N 49.0W 50 KT
120HR VT 16/1800Z 21.0N 54.5W 45 KT
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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