Y las anomalías en temperatura:

Desde luego la tendencia es un mortuorio para que se forme...





Cizadallura, se metera en una zona donde hay menos, por lo tanto...mejor.



Esto es seguir..por seguir...para plantear esta teoria..tendria que tener probabilidades...

No es más que una simple Borrasca, y no se dan las condiciones para una evolución a depresión tropical, tal como indica ADIDAS.   


http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/atir.html

  Nos sé no sé será a lo mejor las ganas mias pero como borrasca normal y corriente no la veo, habrá que seguir observando

Por cierto el CNH ha sacado algún aviso?

Cita de: meteo28 en Lunes 03 Abril 2006 21:07:28 PM
Nos sé no sé será a lo mejor las ganas mias pero como borrasca normal y corriente no la veo, habrá que seguir observando

Por cierto el CNH ha sacado algún aviso?

No, que yo sepa

Tenemos nuevo Sistema cogiendo fuerza, al noroeste de Australia.


Sistema Tropical 93S


30 kts y 1000 mb.





Acaban de emitir el primer aviso de posible Ciclón Tropical.


IDW23100
40:3:1:24:16S115E999:11:00
SECURITE

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1802UTC 4 APRIL 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA




Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1800UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude fourteen decimal six degrees South [14.6S]
Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal three degrees East [115.3E]
Recent movement : slowly south.
Maximum winds   : 30 knots.
Central pressure: 998hPa.

Note: The low is expected to move erratically over the next 12 to 24 hours and
then begin moving south or southwestwards once it has developed further. 


AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 100 nautical miles in
western quadrants.


FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
                                                                               
                                                                 
At 0600 UTC 05 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.4 South 115.2 East
                      Central pressure 994 hPa.
                      Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1800 UTC 05 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 16.4 South 114.9 East
                      Central pressure 988 hPa.
                      Winds to 40 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 05 April 2006.

WEATHER PERTH


Se espera que en las próximas horas evolucione.

Buuuaf que buena pinta tiene, esta bonito....me da que este va a ser gordo, fijaos que masas nubosas mas grandes y parecen bastantes compactas. Este me recuerda al nacimiento de epsilon un poco, veremos haber como sigue siendo su evolucion 
asi esta a esta hora  http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/thumbs/SHEM/93S.INVEST/pacific/southern_hemisphere/ir/geo/ir/geo/1km_bw/20060404.2230.gms6.x.ir1km_bw.93SINVEST.30kts-1000mb-148S-1149E.100pc.jpg

Postdata: ojo que estan siguiendo a otro nuevo http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/thumbs/SHEM/94S.INVEST/pacific/southern_hemisphere/ir/geo/ir/geo/1km_bw/20060404.2230.gms6.x.ir1km_bw.94SINVEST.17kts-1006mb-83S-869E.100pc.jpg

Ahi teneis a Glenda en su maximo esplendor...

21S


IDW23100
40:3:1:24:17S116E999:11:00
SECURITE

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1255UTC 5 APRIL 2006

STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION

At 1200 UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude seventeen decimal zero degrees South [17.0S]
Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal three degrees East [116.3E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 8 km/h.
Maximum winds   : 35 knots.
Central pressure: 988hPa.



AREA AFFECTED

Within 70 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 100 nautical miles in
southwest quadrant.


FORECAST

Within 70 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 100 nautical miles in
southwest quadrant:
Clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell. Winds increasing to 55 knots near the centre by 1200 UTC 6
April.
                                                                               
                                                                 
At 0000 UTC 06 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.8 South 115.6 East
                      Central pressure 982 hPa.
                      Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 1200 UTC 06 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 18.9 South 114.9 East
                      Central pressure 970 hPa.
                      Winds to 55 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 05 April 2006.

WEATHER PERTH








Para el NRL Naval Hurricanes (Navy), tiene 40 kts y 994 mb.

jojo, ese tiene pinta de ser fuertecillo de aqui a poco!!

Esta creciendo...

Es muy hermoso, esperemos que se aleje de tierra.