Bueno... por Sevilla y provincia... hoy es un día para
armarse de... paciencia... y no desesperar...

El término hidrófugo es cuanto menos aplicable a nosotros....

A todos les llega menos a nosostros...?

[21,2º C]

Creo que es la primera noche tropical del año en Málaga, 21,2º C de minima.
Nubosidad alta en los cielos desde el W.

[Ver umbrales de intensidad de lluvia, y visita las Alertas de SSW. Ver apuntes del índice n]

Por el suroeste está a punto de entrar un bichito, vigiladlo 

http://mural.uv.es/romona/Animacions/msg2-pluja.htm
http://mural.uv.es/romona/Animacions/IR.htm
http://mural.uv.es/romona/Animacions/radar_anim.htm

Buen día... Hoy debería empezar lo bueno, pero de momento, solo hay abundante nubosidad procedente del Golfo . 21 grados, viento de SW moderado y 68% de HR.
PD: Esto es lo malo de no tener una estación en condiciones , que se le va a hacer..

[OYE A VER SI OS PASAIS POR EL TEMA QUE HE ABIERTO PARA COLGAR LOS RECORDS ANUALES DE CADA UNO]

Hay intervalos nubosos en Fuengirola. El viento es del oeste y con rachas más fuertes. La temperatura se ha estancado sobre los 24º (luego en casa comprobaré la estación).


OYE A VER SI OS PASAIS POR EL TEMA QUE HE ABIERTO PARA COLGAR LOS RECORDS ANUALES DE CADA UNO.  https://foro.tiempo.com/index.php/topic,89095.0.html

Seguro que Sevilla y Huelva se llevan la Palma

Hola, de momento siguen los intervalos de nubes pero sin amenazar precipitación.

La temperatura es de 23,5º. Saludos.

[Málaga, 7 msnm]

Estofex da "meneo" ...




An interesting forecast is in store for most parts of Spain with both an excessive rainfall and strong to severe thunderstorm threat.
22th May, 14Z IR images show the southward digging upper - level feature just west of Ireland and this overall trend will continue during the next 1 - 2 days or so. Constellation with persistent speed max along its upstream side result in a sharp upper - level trough axis west of Portugal and a highly diffluent streamline pattern futher eastwards including Spain and Portugal. At lower levels a somewhat diffuse and very slowly eastward moving cold front ( due to near parallel alignment to the background flow ) will cross the area from the west, reaching a line Faro, PT - Madrid, ES - Toulouse, FR during the evening hours ( ~ 18Z ). We have to split the forecast area as there exists two different risk areas, arising by this constellation :

... Portugal, SW / W / NW and Central Spain and extreme SW / W France ...

Slow moving front will be the focus for scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Upper - levels favor persistent re - development of convective activity during the day as atmosphere along and west of the front stays mostly uncapped. Strong DLS of 15 - 20 m/s will be present and a few strong thunderstorms with marginal hail and strong wind gusts will be possible but overall messy setup should exclude discrete storm mode and favor rapid clustering of thunderstorms with an excessive rainfall threat for the area of interest.

... E / NE Spain and parts of SW France ...

An environment conducive for severe thunderstorms arises over those areas east of the eastward trailing cold front at 12Z onwards . Some warming at low / mid - levels is forecast but axis of strong thermal ridging should stay to the east of the area of interest so capping should supress activity until the midday hours before breaking. Dewpoints over NE Spain are already in the lower tens and latest synop data reveal a pool of mid to upper tens just east of Spain ( e.g. Balearic Islands ). As the cold front approaches during the afternoon / early evening hours, wind field should back and help to pull this moisture northwards, also affecting NE Spain. Mid -level lapse rates, although somewhat weaker compared to the past few days, are still steep enough for up to 500 J/kg MLCAPE release. The main area of concern is NE Spain as front arrives during peak time heating. Some veering in the lowest 3km is present ahead of this boundary with SRH 1 and 3 values of 200 m^2/s^2 and 250 m^2/s^2 respectively and 10m/s / 20m/s LLS / DLS. The LCL should be around 1000 m at 12Z but is forecast to decrease to below 500m between 15Z and 18Z with parcel layer depth increasing during the same time. All this points to an enhanced tornado risk especially when more discrete thunderstorms could evolve. We decided to stick with a high - end level -1 as strong meridional component of mean flow provides some uncertainties regarding the final storm mode. At the moment NE Spain is the most likely region which could be upgraded to a level -2 in later updates. Large hail and severe wind gusts as well as torrential rain due to very slow frontal movement will be all possible, too. Thunderstorms over NE Spain and SW France will keep going during the night hours with an upscale growth to one or two clusters, which move northwards while weakening as BL stabilizes and instability decreases.

Latest GFS runs develop another area of convection SW of the Balearic Islands around 03Z but confidence in this scenario is too low for the moment. Shear and instability would be adequate for organized thunderstorms and an update may be needed later - on.



Saludos

[Ver umbrales de intensidad de lluvia, y visita las Alertas de SSW. Ver apuntes del índice n]

Estofex da "meneo" ...

TiempoSevero también

http://tiemposevero.es/mapa-alertas-tormentas-a-kokas.php

La cosa se anima... de todas fromas voy apreparar
mi cámara de video por lo que pueda pasar...

Siento no pasaros datos aún pero todavía
no tengo la estación que he pedido...

Dentro de poco así lo haré...

Llueve con ganas en badajoz toda la mañana con ganas y muy persistentes..llevamos aqui 12,5mm

[Málaga, 7 msnm]

Estofex da "meneo" ...

TiempoSevero también

http://tiemposevero.es/mapa-alertas-tormentas-a-kokas.php

Un poco distintos vosotros... A ver quien se lleva la palma...
Aqui en Málaga no tiene pinta de nada

[Ver umbrales de intensidad de lluvia, y visita las Alertas de SSW. Ver apuntes del índice n]

Estofex da "meneo" ...

TiempoSevero también

http://tiemposevero.es/mapa-alertas-tormentas-a-kokas.php

Un poco distintos vosotros... A ver quien se lleva la palma...
Aqui en Málaga no tiene pinta de nada

No, es que la alerta naranja del NW era para esta madrugada, todavía no había actualizado.

Ahora sí, esta tarde lo más intenso estará en la franja diagonal central.

He añadido una área de alerta roja en los Pirineos occidentales, ya que me parece que podrían superar los 60 mm en una hora.