Previsión índice Ap y flujo solar para los próximos días:
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2013 Dec 02 130 12 4
2013 Dec 03 135 10 3
2013 Dec 04 135 5 2
2013 Dec 05 140 5 2
2013 Dec 06 145 8 3
2013 Dec 07 140 12 4
2013 Dec 08 135 12 4
2013 Dec 09 130 5 2
2013 Dec 10 130 5 2
2013 Dec 11 130 5 2
2013 Dec 12 135 5 2
2013 Dec 13 135 10 3
2013 Dec 14 135 8 3
2013 Dec 15 130 5 2
2013 Dec 16 130 5 2
2013 Dec 17 135 5 2
2013 Dec 18 130 5 2
2013 Dec 19 130 5 2
2013 Dec 20 125 5 2
2013 Dec 21 125 5 2
2013 Dec 22 130 5 2
2013 Dec 23 130 5 2
2013 Dec 24 130 5 2
2013 Dec 25 125 5 2
2013 Dec 26 125 12 4
2013 Dec 27 125 10 4
2013 Dec 28 125 8 3
Último informe:
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 340 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Dec 2013
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IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
06/0648Z from Region 1909 (S17W50). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
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IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (07
Dec, 08 Dec, 09 Dec).
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IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 358 km/s at
06/0014Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 158 pfu.
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IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (07 Dec, 08 Dec) and
quiet levels on day three (09 Dec).
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III. Event probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
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IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Dec 151
Predicted 07 Dec-09 Dec 155/150/150
90 Day Mean 06 Dec 130
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V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Dec 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Dec 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec 011/012-011/012-005/005
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VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/05
Minor Storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/30/15
Major-severe storm 40/40/05
:NWRA: File downloaded: Fri Dec 6 22:35:02 UTC 2013
Sólo había una alerta R1:
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 Dec 07 0723 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 691 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
Con una duración de unos 4 minutos.