yo lo hice con el katrina

No me malinterpretéis, pero ver el golpeo de un huracán en directo, tiene algo de macabro, más que nada por la cantidad de gente que tiene que soportarlo in situ, cuando hablamos de monstruos de cat 4 y 5 especialmente.

Al margen de eso, en pocas ocasiones podréis ver el golpeo de un huracán (hablando de las categorías más altas, claro), por la violencia de los vientos.

Ver el golpeo en directo no debería ser sinónimo de ver gente muriéndose porque se puede evitar si hay evacuaciones, aunque en paises con pocos recursos es poco menos que imposible. Lo que para nosotros no deja de ser un espectáculo de la naturaleza (que sin duda alguna lo es), para las gentes que sufren el golpeo de un huracán significa quedarse sin casa, sin trabajo, sin hospitales...

Ciertamente es algo macabro e incluso morboso ver un golpeo, pero por otro lado, si las webcam pueden, aunque sea mínimamente, ayudar a evitar daños mayores bienvenidas sean.

Observar en directo un huracán debería servir para aprender más sobre ellos, concienciar a la gente sobre como prevenirse, como construir casas más seguras e incluso donde NO se deberían construir.

En fin, pienso que si bien tiene algo de morboso, hay que ver tambien la utilidad de las cámaras.

Sí, si no digo que no tengan utilidad, simplemente es el primer pensamiento que me ha venido a la cabeza, a fin de cuentas, para nosotros es un espectáculo, pero para el que lo está sufriendo in situ, es el infierno en estado puro.

Si quereis ver los golpeos de los Huracanes, teneis la CNN. Esta cadena son los números uno en emitir este tipo de imágenes. Normalmente es lo que suelo hacer yo, cuando un Huracán va a golpear EE.UU.

No recuerdo que forero la temporada pasada, se curró un topic con enlaces de cámaras web. En vista de que no hay ningún sistema tropical a la vista, podríamos buscar ese topic.


Saludos.

Cita de: Ermuleto en Lunes 22 Mayo 2006 17:55:39 PM
Si quereis ver los golpeos de los Huracanes, teneis la CNN. Esta cadena son los números uno en emitir este tipo de imágenes. Normalmente es lo que suelo hacer yo, cuando un Huracán va a golpear EE.UU.

Coincido contigo Ermuleto.

Yo tengo grabado en DVD información completísima de los días previos al golpeo de Katrina y posteriores, recopilado tanto de la CNN como de la Fox. Ante ese tipo de situaciones los informativos norteamericanos se vuelcan en el seguimiento de los huracanes.

Hablando de la CNN, entrad en su página web

www.cnn.com

y mirad cuál es la noticia de portada de hoy.

Después de lo del año pasado en EEUU tienen "huracanitis aguda", y no es para menos.

En la noticia dice que el NOAA apunta a la posibilidad de que esta temporada se lleguen a formar hasta 6 huracanes de categoría 3 o superior (las estimaciones están entre 4 y 6 huracanes de esa virulencia). Eso es mucha tela teniendo en cuenta que para el año pasado el mismo NOAA esperaba unos 3 huracanes de categoría 3 o superior y al final fueron nada más y nada menos que 7 superhuracanes los que se formaron.

En referencia a la noticia que nos deja gonza ,yo les dejo el ultimo parte de la noaa recien saldo del horno......
Una de las cosas que me inquietan es que en este reporte ellos dicen que la discucion se centra no en si la temporada va a hacer mayor de lo normal sino cuan mayor de lo normal puede llegar a ser........

NOAA: 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook 
Issued: 22 May 2006


SUMMARY
NOAA's 2006 Atlantic hurricane season outlook indicates an 80% chance of an above-normal hurricane season, a 15% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 5% chance of a below-normal season. This outlook is produced by scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), National Hurricane Center (NHC), and Hurricane Research Division (HRD). See NOAA's definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons.

The outlook calls for a very active 2006 season, with 13-16 named storms, 8-10 hurricanes, and 4-6 major hurricanes. The likely range of the ACE index is 135%-205% of the median. This prediction indicates a continuation of above-normal activity that began in 1995. However, we do not currently expect a repeat of last year's record season.

The predicted 2006 activity strongly reflects an expected continuation of conditions associated with the multi-decadal signal, which has favored above-normal Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995. These conditions include considerably warmer than normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs), lower wind shear, reduced sea level pressure, and a more conducive structure of the African easterly jet. An updated Atlantic hurricane outlook will be issued in early August, which begins the peak months (August-October) of the hurricane season.

DISCUSSION

1. Expected Activity - 80% chance above normal, 15% chance near normal, 5% chance below normal

An important measure of the total seasonal activity is NOAA's Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index, which accounts for the collective intensity and duration of Atlantic named storms and hurricanes during a given hurricane season. The ACE index is also used to define above-, near-, and below-normal hurricane seasons (see Background Information). A value of 117% of the median (Median value is 87.5) corresponds to the lower boundary for an above-normal season.

For the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season, the ACE index is expected to be in the range of 135%-205% of the median. The upper half of this range is above the 175% baseline that Goldenberg et al. (Science, 2001) use to define a hyperactive season. Based on this predicted ACE range and on the 80% probability of an above-normal season, we expect 13-16 named storms, 8-10 hurricanes, and 4-6 major hurricanes [categories 3-4-5 on the Saffir-Simpson scale]. This predicted ACE range can be satisfied even if the numbers of named storms, hurricanes, or major hurricanes fall outside their expected ranges.

The vast majority of named storms and hurricanes are expected to form during August-October over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, which is typical for above-normal seasons. These systems generally track westward toward the Caribbean Sea and/or United States as they strengthen. Historically, very active seasons have averaged 2-4 landfalling hurricanes in the continental United States and 2-3 hurricanes in the region around the Caribbean Sea. However, it is currently not possible to confidently predict at these extended ranges the number or intensity of landfalling hurricanes, and whether or not a given locality will be impacted by a hurricane this season.

2. Expected Climate Conditions – Active multi-decadal signal, above-average Atlantic Ocean temperatures, ENSO-neutral conditions

All of the Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995 have been above normal, with the exception of two moderate to strong El Niño years (1997 and 2002). This contrasts sharply with the 1971-1994 period of generally below-normal activity (Goldenberg et al., Science, 2001). Time series of key atmospheric wind parameters highlight the dramatic differences between these above-normal and below-normal periods. Conditions were also very conducive for above-normal hurricane seasons during the 1950s and 1960s, as seen by comparing Atlantic SSTs and seasonal ACE values.

The regional atmospheric circulation contributing to these long-period fluctuations in hurricane activity is strongly linked to the tropics-wide multi-decadal signal (Bell and Chelliah, 2006). Since 1995 this signal has been very conducive to above-normal hurricane seasons and warmer Atlantic SSTs, and it is again the main factor guiding the 2006 outlook.

Over the North Atlantic, key aspects of the multi-decadal signal expected during the 2006 hurricane season include 1) warmer SSTs, lower surface air pressure, and increased moisture across the tropical Atlantic, 2) an amplified ridge at upper levels across the central and eastern subtropical North Atlantic, 3) reduced vertical wind shear in the deep tropics over the central North Atlantic, which results from an expanded area of easterly winds in the upper atmosphere (green arrows) and weaker easterly trade winds in the lower atmosphere (dark blue arrows), and 4) weaker easterly winds in the middle and lower atmosphere, resulting in a configuration of the African easterly jet (wavy blue arrow) that favors hurricane development from tropical waves moving westward from the African coast. Some early-season indicators of an active hurricane season are already developing. These include warmer SSTs and weaker easterly winds in the middle atmosphere, both of which have strong links to the multi-decadal signal.

Although we expect a very active hurricane season during 2006, we are not forecasting a repeat of last year's record season at this time. This is partly because the tropical Atlantic SSTs are not presently as warm as we saw last year at this time. Also, a combination of conditions led to the record 2005 season. Some of those, particularly an amplified upper-level ridge over the eastern U.S., long periods of suppressed convection near the date line, and exceptionally low pressures in the Gulf and Caribbean Sea region, are simply not predictable at this time.

Another factor known to significantly impact Atlantic hurricane seasons is ENSO (Gray, 1984. El Niño favors fewer hurricanes and La Niña favors more hurricanes. Based on the most recent ENSO outlook issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, ENSO-neutral conditions are expected in the tropical Pacific through much of the Atlantic hurricane season. Therefore, ENSO is not expected to impact this hurricane season.

3. Multi-decadal fluctuations in Atlantic hurricane activity

Atlantic hurricane seasons exhibit prolonged periods lasting decades of generally above-normal or below-normal activity. These fluctuations in hurricane activity result almost entirely from differences in the number of hurricanes and major hurricanes forming from tropical storms first named in the main development region, which spans the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea.

Hurricane seasons during 1995-2005 have averaged 15 named storms, 8.5 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, with an average ACE index of 179% of the median. NOAA classifies nine of the last eleven hurricane seasons as above normal, and seven as hyperactive. In contrast, during the preceding 1971-1994 period, hurricane seasons averaged 8.5 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 1.5 major hurricanes, with an average ACE index of only 75% of the median. One-half of these seasons were below normal, only three were above normal (1980, 1988, 1989), and none were hyperactive.

4. Uncertainties in the Outlook

The main uncertainty in this outlook is not whether the season will be above normal, but how much above normal it will be. The 2006 season could become the fourth hyperactive season in a row. Another uncertainty is related to forecasting some of the specific circulation features known to produce exceptionally active seasons. High activity during the last three seasons resulted partly from an amplified upper-level ridge and lower wind shear over the western subtropical North Atlantic and eastern United States (Bell et al. 2004, 2005, 2006). In the event these conditions again develop, which cannot be predicted with confidence at this time, the 2006 seasonal ACE value could even exceed the high end of our predicted range. However, we do not currently expect a repeat of last year's record season.

Despite the forecasted ENSO-neutral conditions, the possibility exists for prolonged periods of suppressed convection over the central equatorial Pacific, consistent with very warm SSTs and enhanced tropical convection remaining over Indonesia and the western equatorial Pacific. Suppressed convection over the central equatorial Pacific produces a La Niña-like response in the atmospheric circulation, and results in a stronger upper-level ridge and lower wind shear over the western tropical Atlantic. The combination of an active Atlantic era and suppressed convection near the date line is known to favor extremely active Atlantic hurricane seasons, as was seen last season.

NOAA scientists will closely monitor the evolving climate conditions. NOAA's updated Atlantic hurricane outlook will be issued in early August, which begins the peak months (August-October) of the hurricane season.

http://www.nola.com/bourbocam/ y ahi no se veia ni un alma pero si el azote del viento

Si, no tiene que ser nada bonito ver como arrasa un huracan, pero me gustaria ver la llegada de alguno.

El año pasado cuando empezo la temporada?
Primer huracan? 

Estos días atrás estando en la Rivira Maya, concretamente en Playa del Carmen, Isla Mujeres, Cancun y Cozumel, lei una noticia en un canal Mexicano y  decía que la temporada de huracanes para el 2006 seria tan intensa como en el 2005.
Entre otras cosas comentare que en estas zonas aun  se están recuperando de los destrozos causados por Wilma, vi arboles de un grosor descomunal con la raíces para arriba, en  la selva tropical solo quedan arboles  de pequeño grosor sin ramas, como si fueran estacas en medio de la espesura, los demás arboles estaban tirados.como curiosidad vi un barco de unos 20 o 30 metros de eslora encallado 20 o 30 metros tierra adentro, en Cancun la zona hotelera aun están en reparaciones, he visto algún hotel con algunas plantas que solo existía las ventanas, por dentro era como si lo hubieran barrido, en fin un desastre así que os podéis imaginar el momento del paso del huracán yo preferiría no estar allí os lo prometo.
saludos.
C.R.P

UFF!!! Si todavia estan recuperandose... mal rollo no?