Sala de prensa

Desconectado LightMatter

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #624 en: Sábado 07 Diciembre 2013 16:10:14 pm »

 Parece que algunos se van descolgando.


Leanse el articulo (original completo) para comprender el verdadero significado de lo que quiso decir con "Environmentalism has failed" y no se queden con el titulo de la portada...

http://translate.google.com.uy/translate?sl=en&tl=es&js=n&prev=_t&hl=es&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.davidsuzuki.org%2Fblogs%2Fscience-matters%2F2012%2F05%2Fthe-fundamental-failure-of-environmentalism%2F&act=url

In memoriam: Albert A. Bartlett
aHJpenpvIHNvcyB1biBUUk9MICwgeSB5YSBtZSB0ZW5lcyBsb3MgaHVldm9zIHBvciBlbCBwaXNvLCBwZXJvIGlndWFsIHRlIHF1aWVyby4u
"Hay que tener la mente abierta. Pero no tanto como para que se te caiga el cerebro al suelo."
Dr. Richard Feynman

Desconectado Uller

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #625 en: Sábado 07 Diciembre 2013 17:08:59 pm »
¿No será mejor leer ésto?

The caption reads, “Environmentalism Has Failed”“David Suzuki loses faith in the cause of his lifetime.”

Suzuki doesn’t realize he‘s the cause of the failure as a major player in the group who exploited environmentalism and climate for a political agenda. Initially most listened and tried to accommodate, but gradually the lies, deceptions and propaganda were exposed. The age of eco-bullying is ending. Typically Suzuki blamed others for the damage to the environment and climate but now he blames them for not listening to him. He forgets that when you point a finger at someone three are pointing back at you.


Environmentalism was what academics call a paradigm shift, which Thomas Kuhn defines as “a fundamental change in approach or underlying assumptions.” It was a necessary new paradigm. Everybody accepts the general notion it is foolish to soil your own nest and most were prepared to participate. Most were not sure what it entailed or how far it should go. Extremists grab all new paradigms for their agenda but then define the limits for the majority by pushing beyond the limits of the idea. Environmentalism and the subset climate are at that stage pushed there by extremists like Suzuki. Instead of admitting the science is wrong they double down and make increasingly extreme statements, just like the IPCC. It underscores the political rather than the scientific agenda. For example, Suzuki, apparently frustrated that politicians were not listening to his demands for action on climate change said they should be jailed.

Environmental groups grabbed environmentalism and quickly took the moral high ground preaching that only they cared about the Earth. Suzuki set up the David Suzuki Foundation (DSF) with tax benefits that required it to be non-political, but after active involvement in an Ontario election he was forced to resign. His major theme in the election was to push the climate change and alternate energies put in place in that Province when Maurice Strong was in charge of Ontario Hydro, the state controlled energy agency. Ontario is the perfect example of how and why climate energy policies promoted by Strong as Founder of UNEP are a disaster.

The Foundation campaigned on environmental issues most presented in deceptive or incomplete ways. An example was the attack on salmon farming and corrupted research on PCBs and sea lice. This was the focus of an interview of researcher Vivian Krause by Ezra Levant. Another was Suzuki’s parade across Canada pushing extinction theories and claims of DSF Board member E.O Wilson that 3 species go extinct every hour. He never named one. He never listed the plethora of new species found. He refused to discuss the issue and in his visit to schools pre-arranged and wrote a question for a selected student to ask. He promoted threats of global warming, but refused to debate the issue or answer questions. When asked questions on a radio interview in Toronto, he swore and stormed out of the studio.

He hired former Federal politician NDP (socialist party) David Fulton as Director of DSF. James Hoggan has been Chairman of the Board for many years. His PR Company has major alternate energy companies as clients. Hoggan is the proud creator of DeSmogblog a web site that claims it is “Clearing the PR Pollution that clouds climate science” but mostly involves personal attacks on people asking questions. The objective was to denigrate people by creating “favorable interpretations” to the following questions. “Were these climate skeptics qualified? Were they doing any research in the climate change field? Were they accepting money, directly or indirectly, from the fossil fuel industry?” This doesn’t answer skeptics questions about the science.

Their real agenda was disclosed in a Climatic Research Unit (CRU) leaked email dated December 2007 from senior writer Richard Littlemore to Michael Mann.

Hi Michael [Mann],

I’m a DeSmogBlog writer [Richard LIttlemore] (sic) (I got your email from Kevin Grandia)* and I am trying to fend off the latest announcement that global warming has not actually occurred in the 20th century.

It looks to me like Gerd Burger is trying to deny climate change by “smoothing,” “correcting” or otherwise rounding off the temperatures that we know for a flat fact have been recorded since the 1970s, but I am out of my depth (as I am sure you have noticed: we’re all about PR here, not much about science) so I wonder if you guys have done anything or are going to do anything with Burger’s intervention in Science. (emphasis added)

(* Grandia was a former writer for DeSmogBlog who moved there after serving as a research assistant for a Liberal Minister in Ottawa.)

Do as I say, not as I do is the hallmark of extreme environmentalists behaviour. Al Gore is the poster boy for this hypocrisy. It appears Suzuki is only different in scale. They were enumerated in programs by SUN TV Reporter Ezra Levant. They include the familiar list of funding and financial activities and personal wealth accumulated, especially in properties.

A major part of Suzuki’s attacks relate to global warming. His refusal to debate or even answer questions is legendary. He ignores his lack of qualifications on climate, but uses that challenge when it comes to his supposed expertise in genetics and genetically modified food. A possible explanation for his “environmentalism is a failure” claim is a PR move to divert from the exposure of his climate ignorance in an Australian interview. He could not answer questions about information fundamental to any understanding.

Suzuki abandoned his academic career in genetics decades ago explaining why in a 1999 Seattle speech. His concerns related to the internment of his Japanese Canadian family during WWII. Here are his words:

In the exuberance of the excitement over the discovery of new principles of heredity — that seemed to apply across the plant and animal kingdoms — geneticists began to make wonderful, wild statements about the implications of their discoveries. I’m sure most of you know that it ultimately led to what was considered a legitimate area of science called Eugenics.

Some of our most eminent geneticists taught courses in eugenics, wrote textbooks in eugenics, published articles in eugenics journals. Eugenics being the attempt to apply the new-found knowledge of heredity to improve the genetic quality or makeup of human society.

It seems more logical to maintain standing as a geneticist and work to prevent such drifts occurring. Instead he quit and became a tele-evangelist using state television (Canadian Broadcasting Corporation) to push his environmental/political agenda.

His television series became his undoing as a classic example of how extremism is its own undoing. It’s why Suzuki’s exploitation of environmentalism, as he defines it, caused failure. Most programs in the series were unjustified, misleading condemnations of different components of society. I identified some of the misinformation in a presentation to farmers in Saskatchewan a few years ago. Afterward a woman told me that a month earlier she would have disagreed with my comments. Now she understood because Suzuki did a program on farming and as a farmer’s wife she knew how wrong and biased it was. Each new program exposed another segment of society to the deception. This created a populace open to and not surprised by the exposure of his hypocrisies. The same is happening to climate alarmism as more and more segments of society are negatively affected. His actions and climate driven energy policies close industries, decimate communities, cause job losses and force business closures, virtually all unnecessarily.

As Suzuki’s campaign to use environmentalism for a political agenda fails he lashes out, blaming others for the failure. It parallels what is happening in the climate alarmist community. The comments and claims become more extreme, but achieve the opposite of their goal. It is necessary to consider the further negative effects of their exploitation and deceptions. What is the damage to the credibility of science? Can we pursue environmentalism with rational, science based, prioritized policies?
Pamplona

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #626 en: Lunes 09 Diciembre 2013 20:09:41 pm »
Ojo a este, que es muy interesante. Nic Lewis en Climate Audit:

Does the observational evidence in AR5 support its/the CMIP5 models’ TCR ranges?


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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #627 en: Miércoles 11 Diciembre 2013 00:25:36 am »
Tal vez interese a alguien. De Jo Nova y Geoff Sherrington, traducido:

El IPCC traducido -ahora  lo entiendes.

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #628 en: Miércoles 11 Diciembre 2013 10:14:05 am »
Tal vez interese a alguien. De Jo Nova y Geoff Sherrington, traducido:

El IPCC traducido -ahora  lo entiendes.

Me ha dado error al intentar cargarlo
OHIO!!!!! Is here!!!!!

Desconectado Uller

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #629 en: Miércoles 11 Diciembre 2013 11:27:22 am »
Tal vez interese a alguien. De Jo Nova y Geoff Sherrington, traducido:

El IPCC traducido -ahora  lo entiendes.

Me ha dado error al intentar cargarlo

No es sólo ese enlace toda la web www.desdeelexilio.com da error, el servidor puede estar de servicio por mantenimiento, puede haber un problema en la red, o en el sitio puede estar experimentando una carga excesiva. Pero el error es del Host
Pamplona

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #630 en: Miércoles 11 Diciembre 2013 12:46:23 pm »
Gracias, Uller. Les aviso. A mi ahora me va lento, pero sí carga. Sé que están haciendo algunos cambios por el problema de lentitud.

Te lo copio en plan rápido. Pero quedará mal (y sin imágenes), no tengo tiempo de editarlo:

Nota previa: Traduzco esto por encargo del jefe (le voy a matar). Está escrito en tono de broma (y tiene mucha coña), pero tanto Nova como Sherrington saben muy bien de lo que hablan, y cada uno de los puntos que hacen es perfectamente defendible en serio. De hecho son puntos que suelen ser defendidos muy en serio. Es un gran resumen de cómo -jugando con las palabras- el IPCC puede engañar sin mentir. Si te va la marcha, aquí tienes otro más técnico que sobrepasa la linde del mero juego de palabras: ¿Soportan las observaciones que usa el IPCC las afirmaciones que hace el IPCC?

Traducido de joannenova.com.au.

    http://joannenova.com.au/2013/12/ipcc-spin-translated-between-the-lines-in-their-leaked-synopsis-97-of-models-fail/



El IPCC traducido – ahora lo entiendes.

Geoff Sherrington y JoNova.

Acaban de filtrar el primer borrador del Informe Síntesis del PCC    (gracias Tallbloke) . Es parte del gran 5º Informe ( las otras partes filtradas aquí). El Informe Síntesis se supone que resume la ciencia. En el mundo real el tema de moda es “la pausa”, o hiato en el calentamiento, que el IPCC ya no puede seguir ignorando. En cambio, los maestros de los mantras alcanzan nuevas fronteras diciendo cosas son a la vez técnicamente correctas, pero evitan señalar lo obvio. Con un poco de suerte, les echaremos una mano. :)
Traduciendo el cuento IPCC:

“The rate of warming of the observed global-mean surface temperature has been smaller over the past 15 years (1998-2012) than over the past 30 to 60 years (Figure SYR.1a; Box SYR.1) and is estimated to be around one-third to one-half of the trend over the period 1951–2012. Nevertheless, the decade of the 2000s has been the warmest in the instrumental record (Figure SYR.1a).”

Traducido: Sí, las temperaturas no han subido tanto como decíamos, a pesar de que hemos emitido CO2 más rápido que nunca. Olvidemos que esto indica que los modelos estaban mal. Lo importante es usar las frases “más caliente” y “récord” lo más posible.

“The radiative forcing of the climate system has continued to increase during the 2000s, as has its largest contributor, the atmospheric concentration of CO2. Consistent with this radiative forcing, the climate system has very likely continued to accumulate heat since 1998, and sea level has continued to rise. The radiative forcing of the climate system has been increasing to a lesser rate over the period 1998-2011 compared to 1984 to 1998 or 1951-2011, due to a negative forcing trend from volcanic eruptions and the downward phase of the solar cycle over 2000-2009. However, there is low confidence in quantifying the role of forcing trend in causing the surface-warming hiatus, because of uncertainty in the magnitude of the volcanic forcing trend and low confidence in the forcing trend due to tropospheric aerosol. {WG1 8.5; WG1 Box 9.2}”

Traducido: A pesar del hecho de que el calentamiento es más lento de lo que venía siendo, el CO2 en teoría nos está calentando más rápido. Esto es una contradicción fatal, pero esperamos que no lo notes. Te distraeremos diciendo que la tasa de de incremento en el forzamiento teórico ha disminuido en nuestras estimaciones de los volcanes y la cosa solar, y apostamos a que suene como que coincide y como que sabemos de lo que hablamos. Pero admitimos que realmente no tenemos mi idea de por qué no está habiendo calentamiento. Lee entre líneas – sabemos que el CO2 es importante porque nuestros modelos no funcionan sin él – pero nuestros modelos no funcionan en cualquier caso, no entendemos los otros factores. La ciencia está establecida, excepto por las inconvenientes, impredecibles partes que no están establecidas. Danos dinero.

“For the period 1998–2012, 111 of the 114 climate-model simulations show a surface-warming trend larger than the observations (Box SYR.1, Figure 1a). There is medium confidence that this difference between models and observations is to a substantial degree caused by unpredictable internal climate variability. Variability sometimes enhances and sometimes counteracts the long-term externally forced warming trend  (Figure Box SYR.1). Internal variability thus diminishes the relevance of short trends for long-term climate change. There are also possible contributions from inadequacies in the solar, volcanic, and aerosol forcings used by the models and, in some models, from too strong a response to increasing greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic factors. {WG1 2.4, 9.3, 9.4; 10.3, 11.2, 11.3, WG1 Box 9.2}

Traducido: la certidumbre del 95% se parece a esto: el 97% de nuestros modelos está mal. (Mira aquí también). Lo achacamos a las partes que son impredecibles de lo que hay en el clima. Tal vez también estemos equivocados en lo del sol, los volcanes y el polvo.

“In summary, the observed recent surface-warming hiatus is attributable in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend in external forcing (expert judgment, medium confidence). {WG1 8.5, Box 9.2}

Traducido:Esta frase ofrece gran confianza porque atribuimos “la pausa” a algo. No mires de cerca, es un enfriamiento que no previmos de antemano, seguimos sin poder predecir, y no lo podríamos medir aunque lo pudiéramos predecir. La “variabilidad interna” es el nuevo comodín que cubre todo aquello que no sabemos. Es el maquillaje multiuso para cualquier ocasión. Esperamos que nadie pregunte si la “variabilidad interna” podría haber causado el calentamiento antes de que causara el enfriamiento.

Añadido: Nos encantan las expresiones como “juicio experto”. Nos hace sentir importantes.

“Footnote: The connection of the heat budget to equilibrium climate sensitivity, which is the long-term surface warming under an assumed doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration, arises because a warmer surface causes enhanced radiation to space, which counteracts the increase in Earth’s heat content. How much the radiation to space increases for a given increase in surface temperature, depends on the same feedback processes that determine equilibrium climate sensitivity.

Traducido: Las realimientaciones son la ruina de todo el cuento, así que solo usamos el término una vez, y en una nota a pié de la página 21, en un documento de 99 páginas (en el que ahora mismo figura “Prohibido citar, copiar o distribuir” en todas las páginas). No esperamos que ningún periodista entienda lo que significa este párrafo, ni que pregunte sobre él, pero si los escépticos pretenden que negamos que las realimentaciones determinan el resultado final, podemos señalar esta parte escondida y decir que somos completamente transparentes.
Una mirada a los clásicos mantras del IPCC:

“….. la década de los 2000 ha sido la más caliente del registro instrumental …”

Traducido: No podemos hablar del calentamiento en los últimos 17 años, así que esta es una buena frase mete-miedo para usar a cambio. No diremos que el calentamiento empezó hace 300 años, mucho antes de que empezaran nuestras emisiones de CO2. No diremos que nuestros registros de temperatura son patéticamente cortos, ni que el mundo estaba más caliente durante la mayor parte de los miles de años desde le revolución agrícola [neolítica -pm]. ¿Quién necesita saberlo? Tampoco mencionaremos que muchos de los registros de temperatura dependen enteramente de nuestros ajustes. Todos aquellos termómetros antiguos marcaban demasiado alto.  Tuvimos que ajustarlos. Es extraño que llevara 70 años “corregir” esas mediciones. (Tomar las temperaturas no era algo muy riguroso  en los días de la bomba atómica y la llegada a la luna. No se puede esperar que los científicos hicieran algo tan complejo como medir la temperatura del aire con precisión, si un modelo de computadora)

“….. su principal causante, la concentración atmosférica de CO2 ….”.

Traducido: El CO2 es la causa principal de calentamiento porque nuestros modelos que no funcionan lo dicen así. Lástima que no haya un estudio aceptado y replicado que proporcione un enlace cuantitativo entre el CO2 y la temperatura atmosférica. Es aquí donde mencionaríamos un estudio así, si lo pudiéramos encontrar. A cambio, damos un amplio rango de posibilidades, y de hecho el CO2 podría no tener efecto alguno, es algo que no se ha demostrado. Pero no hace falta que aclaremos todo eso.

“….. el sistema climático muy probablemente ha continuado acumulando calor desde 1998 …”

Traducido: De hecho no estamos absolutamente seguros de que el sistema climático se haya seguido calentando. Esta es nuestra manera de decir que es posible que no haya habido calentamiento desde 1998.

“….. el mar ha continuado subiendo …”

Traducido: Muchas cosas causan subida del nivel del mar, de las cuales muchas no tienen relación con calentamiento global o con CO2, pero no lo mencionaremos. Tampoco diremos que mucha de esa subida puede deberse a los ajustes de los datos de los satélites. Siempre que podamos filtrar unos datos muy ruidosos, podemos decir que continua una subida. Un filtro de diez años se puede convertir en un filtro de veinte, y este en uno de 20.000 si hace falta.

” ….. produce radiación ampliada al espacio, que contrarresta el incremento en el contenido de calor de la tierra …”

Traducido: Ver Stefan Boltzmann 1879.

…………………………………………………………………………..
Los modelos se encuentran con la realidad.

La realidad es que la temperatura de superficie que se suele mostrar en los mapas de temperatura global no ha cambiado significativamente de 1997 a 2013. Esta pausa no estaba prevista por los modelos climáticos existentes. Fallo. Los modelos climáticos ajustados siguen yendo más calientes que la realidad. Fallo.

Gracias a los escépticos, el IPCC se ha visto forzado finalmente a admitir (en un lenguaje retorcido) que sus modelos don funcionan porque no entienden el clima.
Docenas de modelos, millones de datos, más CO2 emitido que nunca, y los modelos se calientan y arden.  | Graph: John Christy. Data: KMNI.

Ver este post para mayor información sobre el fallo de los modelos.

El cuento y las relaciones públicas seguirán engañando a cualquier periodista crédulo que quiera creer, y el IPCC  proporciona un montón de frases citables convenientes. Tratemos de ayudar a esos periodistas …

Desconectado Uller

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #631 en: Miércoles 11 Diciembre 2013 13:01:24 pm »
Ya se ha solucionado el problema
Pamplona

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #632 en: Domingo 15 Diciembre 2013 15:10:48 pm »
Otro artículo sobre energía verde + políticos ésto en Inglaterra, que aunque parezca mentira también ocurren cosas interesantes (igual que aquí más o menos):

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2523726/Web-green-politicians-tycoons-power-brokers-help-benefit-billions-raised-bills.html#ixzz2nV84KSiQ
Más que sobre energía verde, va sobre Cambio Climático y corrupción política con la energía verde.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2523726/Web-green-politicians-tycoons-power-brokers-help-benefit-billions-raised-bills.html#ixzz2nV84KSiQ
Tienes problema. No solución. No problema. (Sensei Miyagi)

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #633 en: Domingo 15 Diciembre 2013 22:41:09 pm »
Lo he leido ahora, je,je,

Buenas risas me he echado no lo voy a negar, esta historia es de lo más cómica, digna de los hermanos marx se podría hacer una comedia de lo más entretenida.

Lastima que nos este costando tanto dinero a los contribuyentes
OHIO!!!!! Is here!!!!!

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #634 en: Miércoles 18 Diciembre 2013 20:06:25 pm »
¡Pol dió!, que nadie se pierda el informe de Nic Lewis entre los que se han presentado a la petición del Parlamento Británico.

Written evidence submitted by Nicholas Lewis (IPC0017)

Bueno, no es exactamente "prensa" (para la "sala de prensa"), pero no sabía dónde ponerlo.

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Re:Sala de prensa
« Respuesta #635 en: Miércoles 18 Diciembre 2013 21:13:32 pm »
By Joe Bastardi
‘Twas the week before Christmas, when all through the news, there were reports of record cold , so many were confused;

Told global warming is why we should care, And that the point of no return would soon be here; The children were bombarded with tales of dread, While visions of climate disasters were stuck in their heads;

And mamma in her Prius , and I on my bike, To save the planet, got rid of the cars that we like. When suddenly in the data there arose such a clatter, The earth was not warming, what could be the matter?

The warming stopped, as quick as a flash, Leaving proponents in sack-cloth, bathing in ash For far too common was new-fallen snow More than forecasted, temperatures 0 or below, And , what to my wondering eyes should appear, But an uptick in sea ice, and even more polar bears, With a little old driver, called the PDO, I knew in a moment it had to be so Howling like beagles fearing the shame, AGW pushers called skeptics many names;

“Now, Denier! now, madman! now neanderthal ,you’re lying! You’re an idiot ! your stupid, know nothing, we’re frying! To the top of the chart ! breaking through the temperature wall! The warmings out of control, its frying us all!”

As dry leaves that before the wild hurricane fly, This is the worst drought ever, global warming is why, So up to the IPCC the climate pushers flew, With a gravy train of grants, and politics too. Make economies pay, we need no proof Just keep saying temperatures are going through the roof With the media complicit, my head was turning around, To see the global temperature level off and then come down.

The warming had stopped, in their mouth was their foot, Exposing the scam, and the making off with the loot.

Readjusting temperatures, from many years back Peddling disinformation to the media pack. At conferences they would drink and make merry! While the deceit grew in a way, that made it quite scary For the tide it had turned , there was cold that would show, You cant say its warmer, if there’s too much snow;

The cold that was showing, led to chattering of teeth, As the cycle came full circle, not unlike a wreath; The face of global warming, had become a subject smelly, Their position as “solid” as a bowlful of jelly. Hockey sticks broken, sea ice on the increase, I laughed when I heard their excuses not cease.

Events we all knew were something ahead were twisted into worst ever, something to dread; How dare mother nature destroy AGW’s lifes work, These deniers are as nasty as a Miley Cyrus Twerk, But the data is there and everyone knows The temperatures leveled off while co2 rose So when in the wire, you hear the cold wind whistle, The AGW agenda is ready for dismissal

So let me exclaim, as this fades out of sight, “Happy Christmas to all, and to all a good-night.”

Pamplona