Buenas tarde
Parece que se confirma que lo efeito La Niña se va intensificar hasta Diciembre, contudo pude ser que lo efeito verificado en 88 e en lo fin de 98 se possa repetir mas no creo que vatener, por que las SST' en Atlantico estan mas cálidas e en el Pacifico um fuerte sinal de la Señorita
1998
com una ressalva de la NOAA em principio del verano:
"SST Anomalies -- June 9, 1998
Noting today on our SST anomaly WebSite [SSTA] that SSTs
along the Equator west of 120W longitude are markedly colder
than normal...BY AS MUCH AS -4 to -5 deg C!! This cooling
has taken place rapidly during the past 30 days. Over most of
1998, sub-surface temperatures [see TAO Buoy data] have
continued showing a strengthening and shoaling of the thermocline
along the Equator, that began off Australia, finally has arrived just
west of Galapagos and is now easily available at the surface
[upwelling] with just the slightest wind.
Timing is not quite the same as in 1988, but SST conditions
around the Northern Hemisphere have some interesting similarities
for that "La Nina" year.....hmmmmmm. Three of four NOAA
touted models are forecasting the cold-phase of ENSO, apparently
developing, to persist into 1999. Although the intensity of the
'97-98 El Nino appears to have shattered what had been called the
"granddaddy" of all El Nino's for this Century, the winding down
of the '82-83 event does not appear to have any similarities to what
is transpiring now.
AES "
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/climo_archive/anomnight.10.16.1998.gif 2007
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.10.15.2007.gif
534 Respuestas
127509 Vistas